Investigating the Effect of Volatility in Exchange Rates on the Levels of Skewness and Kurtosis of Stock Portfolio Returns of Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Prof, Department of Accounting, Islamic Azad University of Rudehen Branch, Tehran, Iran.

2 Master of Financial Management, Islamic Azad University of Rudehen Branch,Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

This study empirically has examined the effect of volatility in exchange rates on the levels of skewness and kurtosis of stock portfolio returns. The statistical population of research consists all of companies listed in Tehran stock exchange market during 2010 to 2017 that a number of 114 companies were considered as statistical sample of research. The research method is Correlation type and the method of gathering information in literature is based on library research and in the part of hypothesis testing is based on documentation of financial reports. Generally the statistical method had been used in this research is based on combinational data regression method. Results showed that exchange rate volatilities have negative and significant effect on the skewness and kurtosis of stock returns. Also the effect of these volatilities on the systematic skewness and kurtosis of were investigated and the results showed that the exchange rate volatilities have significant and direct effect on the systematic kurtosis of returns, but its effect on the systematic skewness of returns was not confirmed

Keywords


  1. Abutorabi, M. A., Salimifar, M. & Hosseini, S. M. (2013). The imapact of oil income on the casual relationship between fainancial development and economic growth in Iran. Quarterly journal of quantitative economics, 10(2), 71-98 (In Persian).
  2. Ajaz T., Nain M. Z., Kamaiah B. & Sharma N. K. (2017). Stock prices, exchange rate and interest rate: evidence beyond symmetry. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 9(1), 2-19.
  3. Assadi, gholam hossein, kazemi, kazem. (2018). the relationship between dividend payments and stock price cash risk in the companies listed on the Tehran stock exchange. Financial management perspective, 8(22), 9-28.
  4. Badri, Ahmad, Arabmazar Yazdi, Mohammad and Davallou, Maryam. (2014). Higher moments and idiosyncratic volatility puzzle. Journal of investment knowledge, 3(11), 1-24(In Persian).
  5. Badri, Ahmad, Davallou, Maryam and Dorri Nukurani, Maryam. (2016). the impact of macroeconomic variables on function of stock exchange. Financial management perspective, 13: 9-35.
  6. Blau, B. M. (2017). The volatility of exchange rates and the non-normality of stock returns, Journal of Economics and Business, 91, 41–52.
  7. Chen, J., Hong, H & Stein, J. C. (2001). Forecasting crashes: Trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 61, 345–381.
  8. Dash S. R., Mahakud J. (2015). Market anomalies, asset pricing models, and stock returns: evidence from the Indian stock market. Journal of Asia Business Studies, 9(3), 306-328.
  9. Delgado N. B., & Saucedo E. (2018). The relationship between oil prices, the stock market and the exchange rate: Evidence from Mexico, The North American. Journal of Economics and Finance, 45, 266-275.
  10. Haghighat, Mohammad. (2016). the impact of high moments on future stock return by using fama-macbeth model (study: Tehran stock exchange). Master of art dissertation, Allame Tabatabaei University (In Persian).
  11. Hosseini Ara, F. (2014). An investigation the impact of asymmetric and long term memory in conditional volatility between actual exchange rate and stock return in Tehran stock exchange. Master of art dissertation, Islamic azad university central Tehran branch (In Persian).
  12. Hutton, A. P., Marcus, A. J and Tehranian, H. (2009). Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk. Journal of Financial Economics, 94, 67–86.
  13. Jayashankar, M. & Rath B. N. (2017). The dynamic linkage between exchange rate, stock price and interest rate in India. Studies in Economics and Finance, 34(3), 383-406.
  14. Jebran, K. (2018). Volatility spillover between stock and foreign exchange market of China: Evidence from subprime Asian financial crises. Journal of Asia Business Studies,12(2),220-232. https://doi.org/10.1108/JABS-01-2016-0003.
  15. Kianersi, Z. (2013).The relationship between volatility of exchange rate and volatility of stock return in Iran using multivariate garch model. Master of art dissertation, Mazandaran University (In Persian).
  16. Moghadas Bayat, M., Shirinbakhsh, S. & Mohamadi, T. (2018). The analysis of volatility of stock by using MSBVAR-DCC model. Financial management perspective, 22, 97-112.
  17. Mohammdi, A. (2015). An investigation the impact of volatility of exchange rate on relationship financial/non financial features and stock return. Master of art dissertation, Orumie University (In Persian).
  18. Pettengill, G.N., sundaram, S. and Mathur, I. (1995). The conditional relation between beta and returns. Journal of financial and Quantitative Analysis, 30, 101-116.
  19. Rostami, M. R., Kalantari Benjar, M. & Behzadi, A. (2015). Higher moments at the optimization portfolio in fuzzy environment. Quarterly journal of financial engineering and securities management, 24, 41-61 (In Persian).
  20. Sikhosana A and Aye G. (2018). Asymmetric volatility transmission between the real exchange rate and stock returns in South Africa. Economic Analysis and Policy. Available online 10 August 2018.
  21. Tehrani, R., Balgurian M. & Nabizade, A. (2008). An investigation the effect of skewness and kurtosis in stock return by using capital asset pricing model. Journal of securities exchange, 1(4), 35-52 (In Persian).
  22. Tsen, W. H. (2017). Real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns. International Review of Economics and Finance, 49, 340-352.
  23. Vakilifard, Hamidreza and Alifarri, Malihe. (2015).the impact of exchange rate volatility on return of listed companies in Tehran stock exchange. Quarterly journal of economic science, 9(4), 83-98 (In Persian).
  24. Xiong, J. X & Idzorek, T. (2011). The impact of skewness and fat tails on the asset allocation decision. Financial Analyst Journal, 67:23–35.
  25. Xu, J. (2007). Price convexity and skewness. Journal of Finance, 62(5), 2521–2552.
  26. Yang, S. P. (2017). Exchange rate dynamics and stock prices in small open economies: Evidence from Asia-Pacific countries. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 46, 337-354.