The Role of Institutional Investors Herding on the Formation and Intensification of PEAD in the Short Period

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, Department of Finance, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

2 Master of Financial Management, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

There have been many researches in the world about Post Earning Announcement Drift (PEAD). Most of the findings support the existence of excess abnormal returns in case of benefit from PEAD. In this research, the existence of PEAD in Tehran Stock Exchange companies during the period from 2009 to 2021 was investigated, and for the first time, the role of the herding behavior of institutional investors in the formation and intensification of PEAD was investigated. Different percentages of earning adjustment were divided into 6 groups, 3 groups were related to negative adjustment and 3 groups were related to positive earning adjustment. Also, the type of institutional behavior after adjusting earning was divided into four categories: strong herding behavior of selling, weak herding behavior of selling, strong herding behavior to buying and weak herding behavior of buying. The significance of the results was assessed using the Newey-West t test, and the results are as follows: PEAD exists for a short period on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Also, when the institutional investors are the buyer for positive earning adjustment and and sellers for negative earning adjustment, especially for groups of negative 40% to positive 40% earning adjustment, the possibility of obtaining positive abnormal returns is strengthened.

Keywords


  1. Arab mazar yazdi, M., Badri, A., & Azizian, A. (2012). An Empirical Investigation of Herd Behavior: Evidence from TSE. Empirical Studies in Financial Accounting, 10(39), 1-27. (in Persian)
  2. Azarbooye, A. (2021). A Review of The Origin Of Emotional Behavior Of Investors And Its Effects On The Stock Market. Geography and Human Relationships، Vol: 3، Issue: 2. (in Persian)
  3. Babaghaderi, A. (2008). Investigating the reaction of investors to the announcement of the unexpected adjustment of earnings per share (eps) according to the direction of the market, market volatility, the time of the announcement and the direction of income changes, Thesis, Shahid Beheshti University. (in Persian)
  4. Ball, R., & Brown, P. (1968). An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of accounting research, 159-178.
  5. Bartov, E., Radhakrishnan, S., & Krinsky, I. (2000). Investor sophistication and patterns in stock returns after earnings announcements. The Accounting Review75(1), 43-63.
  6. Bernard, V. L., & Thomas, J. K. (1989). Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: delayed price response or risk premium? Journal of Accounting research, 27, 1-36.
  7. Bikhchandani, S., & Sharma, S. (2000). Herd behavior in financial markets. IMF Staff papers47(3), 279-310.
  8. Chen, L. H., Huang, W., & Jiang, G. J. (2017). Herding on earnings news: The role of institutional investors in post–earnings-announcement drift. Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance32(4), 536-560.
  9. Chiang, T. C., & Zheng, D. (2010). An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets. Journal of Banking & Finance34(8), 1911-1921.
  10. De Bondt. W, Taler. R. H (1985). Dose the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance. 40, 793-805.
  11. Gorgi, D. Khanmohammdai, M. (2021). Determining Factor Effecting Audit Report Lag in Companies Listed On the Tehran Stock Exchang. Journal of New Research Approaches in Management and Accounting. ISSN:2588-4573.
  12. Hirshleifer, D., Subrahmanyam, A., & Titman, S. (1994). Security analysis and trading patterns when some investors receive information before others. The Journal of Finance49(5), 1665-1698.
  13. Keyghobadi, A., Sedighbehzadi, SH. & Seif, S. (2018). The effect of information disclosure quality and information asymmetry on the volatility of stock returns using the system of simultaneous equations, Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 10(40): 69-88. (in Persian)
  14. Khojasteh S, zanjirdar M. (2017). The Impact of Investors’ herding Behavior on the Stock Returns Using Huang and Solomon Model, Quarterly Journal of Fiscal and Economic Policies; 4 (15) :115-134 (in Persian)
  15. Jegadeesh, N., & Livnat, J. (2006). Post-earnings-announcement drift: The role of revenue surprises. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(2), 22-34.
  16. Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1992). The impact of institutional trading on stock prices. Journal of financial economics, 32(1), 23-43.
  17. Linda, H, Chen, Wei Huang and Georg, j. Jiang (2017). Herding on Earnings News: The role of Institutional Investors in Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift, Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance, 1–25
  18. Livnat, J., & Petrovits, C. (2019). Investor Sentiment, Post-Earnings Announcement Drift, and Accruals. The Journal of Applied Business and Economics, 21(8), 67-80.
  19. Osoolian, M., & Koushki, A. (2020). Investigating the Crisis Forecasting Ability of the Cumulative Residual Entropy Measure by using Logistic Map Simulation Data and Tehran Stock Exchange Overall Index. Journal of Financial Management Perspective, 10(31), 9-27. Doi: 10.52547/jfmp.10.31.9. (in Persian)
  20. Osoolian, M., SadeghiSharif, S. J., & Sharifiana, V. (2021), The Effect of Investor Sentiment on the Formation of Bubbles in the Stock Market. Shahid Beheshti University Journal of Financial Manaement Perspective, No. 35, PP: 91-118. (in Persian)
  21. Rostami, H., Rezaei, F., & Khalatbari, A. (2021). The moderating impact of the majority stakeholder's patience on managing the impact of information and orporate performance: A case study of companies listed on Tehran Stock Exchange. Journal of Investment Knowledge, 10(38), 25-44. (in Persian)
  22. Sojka, M. (2018). 50 Years in PEAD Research. Available at SSRN 3281679.
  23. Syed, A. M., & Bajwa, I. A. (2018). Earnings announcements, stock price reaction and market efficiency–the case of Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management.
  24. Zhang, Y. (2008). Analyst responsiveness and the post-earnings-announcement drift. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 46(1), 201-215.