تبیین مدل عاملی موثر بر اعتبارات بانکی ایران با رویکرد دلفی فازی

نوع مقاله : علمی - پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی

2 دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی

چکیده

مهم ترین فعالیت بانک ها در سراسر دنیا جذب سپرده ها و اعطای اعتبارات می باشد. موضوع اعتبارات بانکی در کشور ایران، که نظام اقتصادی آن بر پایه بانک استوار است، اهمیت بسیار زیادی دارد. در پژوهش حاضر به دنبال تبیین مدل عاملی موثر بر اعتبارات بانکی ایران می باشیم. روش تحقیق به کار گرفته شده در این پژوهش شامل مرور ادبیات نظام مند برای شناسایی عوامل موثر بر اعتبارت بانکی و همچنین روش های کیفی دلفی کلاسیک و دلفی فازی در جهت بومی سازی عوامل و سپس نهایی سازی مدل عاملی اعتبارات بانکی می باشد. همچنین جامعه آماری مورد استفاده در این پژوهش خبرگان دانشگاهی و اجرایی حوزه اعتبارات بانکی در ایران می باشند. نتایج بدست آمده در این پژوهش نشان می دهد که عوامل مرتبط با شرایط کلان اقتصادی و همچنین عوامل مربوط به شرایط سیاسی و اجتماعی از بیشترین تاثیر بر اعتبارات بانکی در ایران برخوردار هستند و عوامل مربوط به قوانین و مقررات در ایران از کمترین تاثیر بر نظام اعتباری برخوردار می باشند.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Explaining Factor Model Affecting Iranian Bank Credits Using Fuzzy Delphi Approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • seyed mohammad hossein hosseini 1
  • Mohammad Ali Dehghanedehnavi 2
  • Vajhollah Ghorbanzadeh 2
  • Meysam Amiri 2
  • Mohammad Rajaeebaghsiaee 2
1 allameh tabataba'i university
2 Assistant Professor o, Allameh Tabataba'i University
چکیده [English]

The most important activity of banks throughout the world is the attraction of deposits and credit. The topic of bank credit in Iran, whose banking system is based on its own, is very important. In the present study, we seek to explain the effective factor affecting Iranian bank credit. The research methodology used in this study includes reviewing systematic literature to identify the factors affecting bank accreditation as well as classical and Delphi fuzzy qualitative methods for localizing factors and then finalizing the model of bank credit model. Also, the statistical society used in this research is academic and executive experts in the field of banking credits in Iran. The results of this study show that factors related to macroeconomic conditions as well as factors related to political and social conditions have the most impact on banking credits in Iran. The factors related to laws and regulations in Iran have the least effect on credit system.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Bank Credits
  • Credit Conditions
  • Fuzzy Delphi
  1. Abdul Ghafar Ismail, Karmila Hanim Kamil (2010). A note on debt selling and their impact on Islamic bank value, International journal of Banking and Finance, 7: 26–52.
  2. Ahmadi, Fazlolah; Nsiriyani, Khadijeh (2008). Delphi technique is instrumental in research. Medical education, 5: 45-58. (in persian)
  3. Akhavan, Peyman; Filsofian (2016) Presentation of the strategy of knowledge management based on the puberty level with the Fuzzy Delphi method. Medical education. 8: 175-185. (in persian)
  4. Akhavein, J., Berger, A. N., & Humphrey, D. B. (1997). The effects of megamergers on efficiency and prices: Evidence from a bank profit function. Review of Industrial Organization, 12(1): 95-139.
  5. Akhyari, Mostafa(2015). Optimizing the portfolios of resources and expenditures of banks using linear programming. Financial Management Perspective. 12: 143-158. (in persian)
  6. Berger, A. N. (2015). The relationship between capital and earnings in banking. Journal of Money. Credit and Banking, 27: 432-456.
  7. Boone, L.E, and Kurtz, D.L, (2012). The value of enterprise risk management in banking industry, Thomson Learning, Inc.
  8. Dalkey, N., and O. Helmer. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management science, 9(3): 458-467.
  9. Eyvazlo, Reza (2017). Factors Affecting the Returns of Commercial Banks in Iran. Financial Management Perspective. 10: 71-92. (in persian)5
  10. Ghaemi, ali (2015). Identifying and prioritizing factors affecting the financial status of banks. Financial Management Perspective. 9: 27-43. (in persian)
  11. Gheeraert, L., (2017). Does Islamic finance spur banking sector development? J. Econ. Behav. Org. 103: 4–20.
  12. Glen, J. andMondragon-Velez, C. (2011). Business Cycle Effects on Commercial Bank Loan Portfolio Performance in Developing Economies. Review of Development Finance, 1(2): 150-165.
  13. Gondzio, J.,andKouwenberg, R. (2017). High Performance Computing for Asset Liability Management. Operations Research, 49(6): 879 – 891.
  14. Gosselin Maurice, (2015). A Review of Activity-Based Costing: Technique, Implementation, and Consequences. Handbook of Management Accounting Research: 641-671.
  15. Habibi, Arash; Firouzi Jahantigh, Farzad; Sarafrazi, Azam (2015). Asian Journal of Research in Business Economics and Management, 5(2): 130-143.(in persian)
  16. Heydari, Hadi (2010). Evaluating macroeconomic indicators on bank deferrals. Money and economy. 4: 191-219. (in persian)
  17. Kosmidou, K. (2017). The determinants of banks' profits in Greece during the period of EU financial integration. Managerial Finance, 3(34): 146-159.
  18. Lazaridis, I., & Tryfonidis, D. (2016). Relationship between Agency Theory management and profitability of listed companies on the Athens Stock Exchange. Journal of Financial Management & Analysis, 19(1): 26-35.
  19. Levon Barseghyan. (2012). Non-Performing Loans, Prospective Bailouts, and Japan’s Slowdown. Journal of Monetary Economics, 57(7): 873-890.
  20. Mehrabi, Leyla (2016). Assessing the status of non-current claims in the banking system of Iran and comparing it with other countries. Monetary and banking research. 2: 19. (in persian)
  21. Mironiuc, M. And Robu, I. B. (2012). Empirical Study on the Analysis of the Influence of the Audit Fees and Non Audit Fees Ratio to the Fraud Risk, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 62: 179 – 183
  22. Murray, T. J., L. L. Pipino, and J. P. van Gigch. (1985). A pilot study of fuzzy set modification of Delphi. Human Systems Management, 5(1): 76-80.
  23. Rivard, R. J., & Thomas, C. R. (2012). The effect of interstate banking on large bank holding company profitability and risk. Journal of Economics and Business, 49: 61-71.
  24. Shin, H. H., & Soenen, L. (2007). Efficiency of working capital and corporate profitability. Financial Practice and Education, 8(2): 37-45.