انتخاب و بهبود عملکرد سهام رشدی با استفاده از ترکیب مدل‌های DANP و VIKOR در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران

نوع مقاله : علمی - پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیار دانشگاه تهران

2 استادیار، دانشگاه تهران.

3 کارشناسی ارشذ مدیریت مالی دانشگاه تهران

چکیده

     انتخاب سهام مناسب جهت خرید و فروش به­منظور کسب عایدات بیشتر، مهمترین موضوع سرمایه‌گذاران در بازار بورس اوراق بهادار است؛ درحالی­که در شرایط کنونی بسیاری از سرمایه‌گذاران براساس شایعات بازار و اخبار غیررسمی اقدام به خرید سهام می‌کنند. در این پژوهش بااستفاده از روش‌هایDANP  و VIKOR به انتخاب سبد سهام مناسب برای سرمایه­گذاری پرداخته خواهد شد؛ ابتدا بااستفاده از فرآیند تحلیل شبکه­ای و براساس نظر خبرگان، وزن معیارها محاسبه شده است و سپس اطلاعات مورد نیاز 30 شرکت مورد بررسی از واحد آرشیو و سایت اینترنتی سازمان بورس اوراق بهادار و صورت­های مالی شرکت­ها که در سال 1391 بیشترین نسبت P/E را دارا هستند جمع‌آوری و سپس با استفاده از روش VIKOR شرکت­ها رتبه­بندی می‌شوند. معیارهای به­کارگرفته شده در این تحقیق در 4 دسته معیارهای سودآوری (شامل بازده حقوق صاحبان سهام، بازده دارایی­ها، حاشیه سود خالص، حاشیه سود عملیاتی و سود هر سهم)، معیارهای رشد (شامل نرخ رشد بالقوه، نرخ رشد سود هر سهم، نرخ رشد سود خالص و نرخ رشد درآمدها)، معیارهای ریسک (شامل ریسک بازار، ریسک تجاری و ریسک مالی) و معیارهای توسعه و بازاریابی قرار گرفتند. این تحقیق از نظر هدف از نوع کاربردی است و از نظر ماهیت و روش جمع­آوری داده­ها، از نوع توصیفی و از شاخه مطالعه موردی است. 

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